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Bernanke: We need confidence

tussel.2@osu.edu

Published: Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Updated: Saturday, June 16, 2012 00:06

Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke said in a meeting on campus Tuesday that although the U.S. economy has been expanding for the past year, low consumer confidence has hampered progress toward solving nationwide unemployment issues.

"At the pace of growth that we're seeing, we're not growing fast enough to materially reduce the unemployment rate," Bernanke said Tuesday at a panel conversation on the economy at the Fisher College of Business. "In fact, the 9.6 percent unemployment rate we currently see is about the same as it was when the recession officially ended in June 2009."

Leaders from Ford Motor Co., IBM, Moody-Nolan Inc., Sophisticated Systems and Jeni's Splendid Ice Creams participated in the discussion, which was meant to help Bernanke see the job market through the lens of employers.

Bernanke received promising news from the co-owner of one Columbus-based company.

Jeni Britton Bauer, president of Jeni's Splendid Ice Creams, said that despite the poor economic climate, many small businesses have been opening in Columbus. She said her company has weathered the storm, hiring more than 50 employees in the past two years and expanding its operations outside Ohio.

Central Ohio's unemployment rate was 8.2 percent in October, much lower than the state average of 9.9 percent, according to the Ohio Department of Job and Family Services. The national unemployment rate was slightly lower than the state's, at 9.6 percent.

But the economic issues extend beyond the unemployment rate.

More than 40 percent of those unemployed have been jobless for six months or longer, Bernanke said. After being unemployed for an extended period of time, it becomes more difficult for someone to find a job.

"Particularly with young people — and the unemployment rate among young people is extremely high — this can have a very long-term effect on their employability, on their wages," Bernanke said. "We may find that the implications for our unemployment rate go well beyond the recovery from this episode."

But employment will not increase substantially if Americans' perception of the economy does not improve, he said.

"Part of the barrier to faster growth and recovery is confidence of households that they will be financially secure, that they can make purchases," Bernanke said. "With unemployment so high, that confidence is hard to come by."

Bauer said it's important for the government to create an environment in which businesses can develop.

"I started my business in the North Market here in Columbus, where it was just me and the ice cream machine and our customers," Bauer said.

Her business grew with the help of loans and other support from the government, which she said is vital to small businesses.

About 100 invited Ohio State students and faculty attended the discussion.

Vimala Nandula, a third-year in economics and finance, said it was interesting to hear the perspectives of a wide range of business leaders and see how every business is related.

Udit Sekhri, a third-year in finance, said it was encouraging to hear the business people's optimism about the future of the economy.

"All the CEOs were really confident in the future of the economy," he said. "That's important to me because our confidence comes from the confidence of our leaders."

Bauer said success comes in many forms and that students should not let the unemployment rates discourage them.

"My grandmother always said, ‘If you can't find a job, make a job,'" Bauer said. "I was a 22-year-old, pink-haired artist when I started up."

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3 comments

Disappointed in The Fisher School of Business
Wed Dec 1 2010 12:54
Fisher School of Business you bring in the hustler and thug artist that made the banks sign into the 'Stimulus Debacle.' Also Sophisticated Systems has to be if not the worst but one of the worst IT recruiters out there. I have experience there great service - 'do not follow-up with anything or anybody' and everytime someone new in on the other end of the line when they call me in a attempt to create a 'relationship.'

I lost all respect for your school. I was going to attend, but now I will look someplace else to attain my MBA. Your school drank the 'Koolaid.'

D
Wed Dec 1 2010 10:07
"low consumer confidence"? How bout low confidence in the Fed? People are finally starting to realize that it is the Fed's constant tinkering in the economy that causes the booms and busts that we have seen. They are the ones that cause the malinvestment by not allowing markets to work and correct mistakes.

The economy and the dollar will never improve until we get the Fed out of the way and let the mistakes of the past be liquidated. The longer we push this off, the worse the final correction will be.

Anonymous
Wed Dec 1 2010 04:46
Dylan:

Thanks for the report. I hope the Bernanke quotes you cite are picked up by major media publications tomorrow as they provide more insight into Bernanke's (and the Fed's) economic philosophy and current strategy than he may have intended to give away.

Maybe he is already on the record saying this recently, but one quote really struck me. Bernanke said, "...low consumer confidence has hampered progress toward solving nationwide unemployment issues."

Really think about what he is saying there.

Does Bernanke really intend to blame the "nationwide unemployment issue" on essentially middle class Americans (the consumer) because they are not spending enough of the money they don't have?

I guess the Chairman does not see enough consuming going on out there. In his mind there must also be too much price deflation and stagnation (read housing and average American net assets).

Bernanke's comments may actually indicate that he believes Americans who have chosen to save money — perhaps for a car, a house down payment or retirement — and who have chosen to not go into further debt are the problem. If that is his argument, then it's not a good one, and it the reasoning sounds more like an embarrassingly desperate attempt to point the finger elsewhere.

So his solution to unemployment is then what exactly?

Is it something like the following?: Spur growth via inflation (printing money), which allows for near record low cost of credit, which causes consumers to spend more cash/credit on other assets/luxuries to lessen the pain of dollar devaluation, which at the same time has the proven positive (or wait, negative) effect of making it more cost effective for many businesses models to locate operations overseas.

We need confidence...in that?

I have no idea how other alumni feel, but my stomach turns when I think about Ben Bernanke peddling his 0% interest and monopoly money scheme at the Fisher College of Business.

Best,

Anonymous





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